Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.121519 0.135356 0.149527 0.165085 0.181648 0.198718 0.217600
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.102308 0.121366 0.141635 0.164665 0.189974 0.216819 0.247321
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.090712 0.113626 0.138789 0.168189 0.201322 0.237249 0.278893
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.080174 0.105731 0.134641 0.169280 0.209184 0.253276 0.305245
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.070721 0.098048 0.129850 0.168853 0.214686 0.266182 0.327766
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.063506 0.092289 0.126677 0.169745 0.221249 0.279957 0.351037
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.056463 0.086073 0.122389 0.168812 0.225263 0.290484 0.370356
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052369 0.083209 0.121888 0.172183 0.234181 0.306596 0.396085
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047582 0.079013 0.119370 0.172771 0.239512 0.318316 0.416573
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043121 0.074876 0.116613 0.172791 0.243935 0.328803 0.435509
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.038685 0.070402 0.113110 0.171595 0.246640 0.337067 0.451691
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035595 0.067592 0.111618 0.172822 0.252246 0.348773 0.471969
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033558 0.066273 0.112179 0.176860 0.261635 0.365434 0.498697
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030318 0.062870 0.109659 0.176657 0.265507 0.375252 0.517120
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028608 0.061699 0.110177 0.180468 0.274533 0.391489 0.543464
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026287 0.059351 0.108862 0.181675 0.280098 0.403373 0.564472
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023733 0.056389 0.106475 0.181262 0.283435 0.412393 0.581918
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021761 0.054231 0.105143 0.182213 0.288506 0.423575 0.602053
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019499 0.051347 0.102549 0.181245 0.290914 0.431300 0.617842
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018460 0.050578 0.103137 0.184778 0.299365 0.446782 0.643409
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016868 0.048624 0.101764 0.185397 0.303810 0.457080 0.662452
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015287 0.046528 0.100046 0.185418 0.307376 0.466206 0.680009
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.013601 0.044033 0.097542 0.184168 0.309106 0.472890 0.694439